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San Francisco , June 14, 2006
(Dow Jones)
"This is a
fillip for Boeing, as it adds another bellwether
customer for the 787: There may now be some bounce
in the stock, given this order, Airbus's woes
and the recent sell-off, which has been overdone,
in our view," wrote Banc of America Securities
analysts in a research note.
Helping drive the
Dow Jones Industrial Average higher, Boeing (BA)
stock was last up 5.5% to $81.28 on volume of
6.6 million shares, ahead of the 10-day average
of 4.62 million. The shares, however, are off
about 10% from last month's record high of $89.58
on May 10.
As Boeing and Airbus
battle it out for the commercial aviation market,
their strategies have diverged in recent years.
The A380 represents Airbus' belief that international
airlines want to fly between major hub airports
with a large plane that spreads operating costs
over more passengers, who can then use smaller
planes to reach other destinations. The smaller
787 from Boeing represents a different approach
that de-emphasizes hub airports in favor of what's
called "point to point" travel.
Both planes push
the technological envelope. The size and scale
of the A380 make it an unprecedented engineering
challenge, while the 787 will be built using composite
materials from suppliers around the world. Weight
is an issue for both designs, which need to be
as light as possible to make them fuel efficient.
"The A380
is still too heavy and they are blaming the electronics
and the bundling of the in-flight entertainment
equipment," said Doug McVitie, managing director
of Arran Aerospace. "So they can't meet their
performance guarantees."
Demand for Boeing's
787 continues to build, with initial production
of the plane sold out to mostly overseas airlines.
Yet another example of that is Singapore Airlines'
order.
As a sign of continued
strength in Asia's commercial aviation market,
Singapore Airlines said it's lining up for 20
of Boeing's 787-9 jets, and is taking purchase
rights for another 20. That version of the 787
can carry between 250 and 290 passengers and can
fly as far as 8,800 nautical miles. The deal is
worth about $4.5 billion, the airline said.
On Wall Street,
Goldman Sachs raised its rating on Boeing to in-line
from underperform. The upgrade also comes with
a new neutral rating on the commercial aerospace
sector, up from cautious.
"Given our
current view of continued orders, we've revised
our delivery forecast upward to 445 aircraft in
2007 and 483 in 2008," wrote the Goldman
Sachs analysts. Higher earnings are also expected
by the analysts, with a profit of $3.50 in 2006,
up from $3.35, a profit of $4.50 in 2007, up from
$4.15, and a profit of $5.15 in 2008, up from
$4.50.
At Airbus, delayed
deliveries of the flagship A380 jumbo jet slammed
parent EADS' shares in Paris trading. The situation
was severe enough that a top EADS executive apologized
to investors who saw as much as a third of the
stock's market value wiped out on Wednesday.
For Boeing's portfolio
of planes, later deliveries of the A380 could
increase the appeal of the 777 and the biggest
Boeing jumbo jet, the 747-800.
"We need to
see how airlines use their negotiating leverage
over the intermediate term before we redraw our
delivery schedule again," wrote Howard Rubel,
analyst at Jefferies & Co., who noted that
Airbus "won't miss again" with the A380
now that it has announced the delay.
The delay comes
as Airbus is also reviewing its response to Boeing's
787, which will use more carbon composites than
any other commercial plane and relies more on
suppliers to produce major components than Boeing
ever has before. With the Farnborough Air Show,
a critical gathering for the worldwide aerospace
industry, starting in just over a month, Airbus
is now on the defensive.
"Airbus is
doing Boeing nothing but favors right now,"
said McVitie.
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